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Still live near your hometown? If you’re white, you’re more likely to support Trump
10.06.2016

New PRRI/The Atlantic survey explores hometown living and 2016 voting

A new PRRI/The Atlantic Survey released today finds that white likely voters who still live in their hometown strongly prefer Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton (57 percent vs. 31 percent), while nearly half (46 percent) of those who live more than a two-hour drive away from their hometown are supporting Clinton compared to 40 percent who are supporting Trump.

The PRRI/The Atlantic Survey also finds that Hillary Clinton widened her lead over Donald Trump among likely voters (47 percent vs. 41 percent) after the first presidential debate.

White evangelical Protestant likely voters are strongly supporting Trump over Clinton (69 percent vs. 19 percent), while religiously unaffiliated likely voters support Clinton over Trump by similar margins (65 percent vs. 24 percent). Catholic likely voters are more divided (49 percent Trump vs. 42 percent Clinton).

The PRRI/The Atlantic Survey also gauges opinion on whether the presidential candidates understand the problems facing local communities and if the American Dream still holds true.

Read the entire analysis here: http://www.prri.org/research/prri-atlantic-october-2016-presidential-election-horserace-clinton-trump/.

Read the topline questionnaire, including survey methodology: http://www.prri.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/PRRI-Atlantic-Survey-Topline.pdf.

Methodology

The survey was designed and conducted by PRRI in partnership with The Atlantic. Results of the survey were based on bilingual (Spanish and English) RDD telephone interviews conducted between September 28, 2016, and October 2, 2016, by professional interviewers under the direction of SSRS. Interviews were conducted among a random sample of 1,017 adults 18 years of age or older living in the United States (605 respondents were interviewed on a cell phone). The selection of respondents within households was accomplished by randomly requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female currently living in the household. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.6 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence. The design effect for the survey is 1.3. In addition to sampling error, surveys may also be subject to error or bias due to question wording, context and order effects.

PRRI is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit, nonpartisan organization specializing in research at the intersection of religion, values, and public life.